According to @BullTheoryio, BTC has closed green in October in 10 of the past 12 years for an 83% win rate, with the only October declines being 2014 at -12.95% and 2018 at -3.83% (source: @BullTheoryio). According to @BullTheoryio, the average October return is +20.62% and the median is +14.71%, making October one of BTC’s strongest historical months for trend-following setups (source: @BullTheoryio). According to @BullTheoryio, every time September closed green since 2013 (2015, 2016, 2023, 2024), October also finished green, and September 2025 closed +5.16% with October 2025 currently up +5.41% intramonth (source: @BullTheoryio). According to @BullTheoryio, in those same years November also turned green with returns of +19.27% in 2015, +5.42% in 2016, +8.81% in 2023, and +37.29% in 2024, indicating a green September–October–November streak pattern (source: @BullTheoryio). According to @BullTheoryio, if October repeats its average or median gain from a 119,000 USD base, BTC implies targets near 143,539 USD or 136,495 USD respectively, framing a data-driven Uptober scenario for traders to monitor (source: @BullTheoryio).

According to André Dragosch, Bitcoin traded at 108,253 dollars on September 1, 2025, the highest Sept 1 print on record, source: André Dragosch on X, Sep 1, 2025. The year-over-year change from September 1, 2024 at 58,156 dollars to 2025 at 108,253 dollars equals an 86 percent gain, source: André Dragosch on X, Sep 1, 2025. Using the listed prices, the five-year compounded annual growth rate from September 1, 2020 at 11,895 dollars to 2025 at 108,253 dollars is approximately 55 percent per year, source: André Dragosch on X, Sep 1, 2025. The data also show the prior down year, with September 1, 2022 at 20,086 dollars versus 47,992 dollars in 2021, a 58 percent decline, contextualizing cycle risk for traders, source: André Dragosch on X, Sep 1, 2025.